Global Equity Commentary | 3Q 2026

Author

John Hock, CFA

Founder & Chief Investment Officer

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Author

John DeVita, CFA

Analyst & Portfolio Manager

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Author

Rich McCormick, CFA

Analyst, Portfolio Manager, & Co-Chief Investment Officer

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10-21-2026

Dear Investor,

It was an eventful quarter as global bond yields rose sharply (Chart 1), renewed hostilities between the US and Iran set off another energy shock, and AI-related stocks swung widely. Global markets, as measured by the MSCI World Index, gained 1.9% in US dollars. The Altrinsic Global Equity portfolio declined 0.2% gross of fees (-0.4% net).ⁱ Underperformance in the quarter mainly stemmed from a lack of exposure to the small group of technology firms that have led markets, as well as the performance of our holdings in the industrial and consumer staples sectors.

The global macro environment is becoming increasingly fragile, with high debt levels and global growth that largely rests on three things: continued explosive AI capital spending, the ability of a handful of companies to finance it, and the wealth effect created by rising AI-related share prices. We continue to see the best opportunities among companies that may lack the aspirational narratives of today’s market darlings but offer more durable, achievable growth at attractive valuations.

Perspectives

The global macro environment is murky at best, but that fragility is creating attractive opportunities in less crowded areas of the market.

High government debt, fiscal deficits, rising interest rates, important elections (Brazil, Israel, US midterms, France, Italy, and Spain, among others), ongoing conflict in geopolitical hot spots (Ukraine, Iran), and a growing economic dependence on AI have created an unstable macro backdrop. Yet, markets have plowed right through. On closer inspection, only a small number of AI stocks have powered global index returns for years, while the average stock across most regions has lagged (Chart 2). Momentum has dominated markets since 2022; the equal-weighted index has underperformed the increasingly concentrated market-cap-weighted index (Chart 3). During the quarter, there were indications of broadening away from these trends. This is significant considering the valuations and compelling opportunities outside the narrow group that has led markets in recent years.

A key development during the quarter was the extent to which stock markets shrugged off rising interest rates and tightening financial conditions in many large countries.

It takes time for rising rates to work their way through economies and markets, but markets tend to respond before economies do. The pace, scale, and underlying reasons for rising rates play a key role. Every situation is different, but negative developments often occur when interest rates rise above 5% in developed markets and above 8% or 9% in emerging markets. Many fundamental and macro factors influence market sensitivity to interest rates, including market composition, leverage, duration, valuation, and growth. Among these, “growth” expectations associated with AI have been dominant.

Excitement behind the AI narrative and the expectation that AI-driven growth will remain resilient amid tighter financial conditions has underpinned much of the strength in market cap-weighed indices.

AI feeds the economy through both data center capex and the wealth effect from rising AI equities. UBS estimates these factors have driven most of the United States’ growth over the past year, with relatively little contribution from the rest of the economy (Chart 4). Because much of the hardware for AI infrastructure is imported, the investment boom also generates significant global spillovers. Goldman Sachs estimates that AI-related spending will contribute between 40% and 90% of economic growth in 2026 for many Asian countries, including 80% for Taiwan and 90% for South Korea.¹

These wide-ranging effects make the durability of AI investment a critical consideration.

Data centers earn strong returns because computing capacity is scarce. The question is whether those returns hold as supply catches up, financing needs grow, and the cost of capital rises. Three risks stand out: circularity, debt, returns.

Circularity: OpenAI and Anthropic have committed to spend more than $1 trillion, most of it funded from external sources, on computing capacity. That amount is close to half of the contracted future business of the four largest US cloud providers, and most of it will not start generating revenue until 2027-2028. Newer data center companies, often called “neoclouds,” are borrowing against these contracts, and suppliers such as NVIDIA have begun guaranteeing some of those loans. In effect, “anticipated” AI revenue is financing today’s build-out. This loop fuels the boom for now but would magnify the damage if OpenAI/Anthropic revenues disappoint, demand falls short, or borrowing becomes more expensive.

Debt: The hyperscalers are increasingly borrowing to fund AI, both on and off their balance sheets. Capex is expected to absorb close to 100% of their operating cash flow by the end of 2026, versus about 40% in 2023.² Furthermore, two-thirds of build-out spending goes to servers and chips that are depreciated over five to six years, yet the hardware may be obsolete before the debt is repaid. Growing uncertainty has begun to be priced into credit and derivative markets, as evidenced by Oracle’s five-year CDS widening to about 240 bps (up from 144 bps at the start of 2026) and bonds by neoclouds like CoreWeave now yielding well into the double-digits. As shown in Exhibit 1, credit markets are expected to fund more than half of the roughly $3.2 trillion of data center spending projected for 2026-2028. The issue for the AI food-chain is that the funding of capex is increasingly reliant on the “kindness of strangers,” and if borrowing costs rise sharply or equity market optimism wanes, the ability to fund would worsen considerably.

Returns: Strong demand does not guarantee strong returns. While the internet’s winners had years to build scale in their own markets before rivals arrived, today’s hyperscalers and labs are competing head-on before the returns are proven. Amazon’s AWS faced little serious competition for nearly a decade. By comparison, open-source AI models that anyone can download only trail the leading models by about four months. The risk is that more robust competition could push returns below a rising cost of capital, essentially neutralizing the power of demand.

Pressures are already visible in credit markets. AI-related debt issuance is expected to exceed $500B in US markets this year.³ That supply competes with Treasuries for the same investors, and with the 10-year yield above 5%, the cost of capital has risen for every borrower. Stronger borrowers can absorb this shift; weaker ones are feeling the strain. We continue to believe AI will be an incredibly productive technology, but the issues listed above highlight that exponential growth is not a guarantee, and the path may be rockier than many anticipate.

Headlines about Europe focus on challenging macro conditions, but economies are not markets, and we see compelling investment opportunities.

Europe faces high debt levels, fiscal pressure, lagging productivity, societal issues around a busy election cycle, and energy strains entering the winter season. Fiscal strains in France have pushed this “core” EU nation’s 10-year borrowing costs above those of once-ridiculed Greece and Spain (Chart 5). Structural macro reforms have been slow, but micro change at the company level has been meaningful, reflected in improving margins, financial productivity, and capital efficiency. Growing shareholder activism and private equity activity are accelerating that change.

Our European investments have performed well, delivering solid results thus far in 2026, with average EPS growth of 13%. We continue to have meaningful EU exposure and a compelling pipeline of new investments. Recent purchases include Swedish industrial software maker Octave and pharmaceutical leader AstraZeneca.

Japan appears to have escaped the deflation that has plagued it for decades, market reforms are underway, and more companies are focusing on shareholder value.

However, Japan faces similar macro challenges to those in Europe, with an even more difficult demographic profile. The sharp jump in bond yields creates headwinds, but Japanese households stand to benefit as their enormous cash savings finally begin earning a return. As we have noted in recent commentaries, Japanese interest rates and yen movements have global implications. The yen has been a low-cost funding currency, Japan owns a vast amount of foreign assets, and changes in either can affect global liquidity and the pricing of risky assets. This warrants close monitoring.

The blend of macro uncertainty and company-specific change that we have identified in Europe also defines Japan. Our Japanese investments have evolved from being heavily concentrated in financial companies to spanning consumer, industrial, technology, and real estate businesses. Sony is one of our large positions. The company has steadily shifted its business away from more volatile drivers like consumer electronics and insurance, instead focusing on products that provide greater pricing power and differentiation and produce strong recurring cash flows. Some examples include gaming, music, and image sensor technology. In the short term, the business is seeing profit pressure from rising memory costs, but we believe Sony’s transformation has produced a far more resilient business than many investors realize. While we did not make any new Japanese purchases during the quarter, we view Japan as a fertile source of investment opportunity.

Emerging markets offer a similarly mixed picture, with compelling and growing opportunities beyond the major market constituents.

Rising global interest rates and the prevailing energy shock have weighed on many emerging market economies, particularly energy importers with external imbalances (India, Philippines, Thailand, Indonesia). As shown in Chart 6, 62% of EM stocks are more than 20% off highs, and valuation measures are below long-term averages (Chart 7).

A narrow view of emerging markets, as defined by the highly concentrated EM index dominated by a handful of companies, offers a misleading picture of the opportunity set compared to a bottom-up, company-specific approach. The technology sector, now representing 44% of the index, has surpassed China’s 2020 peak weight, and Taiwan and South Korea together now exceed 50%.⁴ These are the same AI-linked areas where expectations are highest, leaving the index more exposed to the AI-related risks discussed earlier. Looking across EM, we see the greatest opportunities in Latin America, Southeast Asia, and India, with growing interest in China.

Closing Thoughts

Global market performance, driven by a highly concentrated set of leaders, has defied rising bond yields, tighter financial conditions, and an increasingly fragile macro backdrop. However, we believe that resilience rests on a precarious foundation of heavy AI spending, funding that increasingly relies on outside capital, and a wealth effect linked to rising equity market valuations. Together, these leave little margin for disappointment. Even as the index remained narrow, leadership briefly broadened toward the quality characteristics well represented in our portfolio, and our holdings in Europe and Japan continued to demonstrate that economies are not markets.

The greatest risks often come from the unknown. At present, the most visible ones stem from a material disappointment in the AI “narrative,” rising rates, and deteriorating geopolitics. Looking ahead, we see the best opportunities where macro headlines may appear challenging but company-level opportunities are most compelling. We expect Europe, Japan, and emerging markets to be enduring sources of opportunity.

We will be disciplined and opportunistic, guided by the same principles that have anchored us since our founding in 2000: quality of business, price paid, and margin of safety. We believe this is a time when being different from the market may be rewarded, provided it is done prudently and with those principles at the forefront. As always, we thank you for your continued partnership and trust.

Sincerely,

John Hock
John DeVita
Rich McCormick

Appendix: Q3 Performance Attribution and Investment Activity

Global equity market gains were largely concentrated among a handful of large-cap technology companies and the energy sector; our limited exposure to the former weighed on the portfolio’s relative performance. Beyond this dynamic, the greatest sources of negative attribution came from our investments in the industrial, information technology, and consumer staples sectors. The largest contributor to performance was in the consumer discretionary sector. Not owning any utilities also contributed to performance, as the sector fell on higher funding costs for capital-intensive investment plans and uneven cost recovery across regulatory regimes, which creates uncertainty around the pace, financing, and ultimate returns of multi-year infrastructure spending.

WillScot was a notable detractor from industrials performance. As the leading provider of temporary office and storage services, WillScot faced concerns about demand growth amid weaker US construction trends and higher interest rates, despite raising full-year financial expectations. However, the company’s growing backlog is shifting toward multi-year, higher margin leasing contracts tied to data center and large infrastructure projects. We see improving earnings durability and scale efficiency as WillScot reduces exposure to cyclical, rate-sensitive local construction markets.

Our lack of exposure to the narrow sub-set of popular technology companies was a significant source of negative attribution during a quarter. The five largest companies in the MSCI World Index – NVIDIA, Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, and Alphabet – now represent more than one-fifth of the index, and modest share gains created an outsized impact on the portfolio’s relative performance. Our investment in Murata Manufacturing also weighed on performance due to concerns about AI capex growth. With 60% market share in high-end MLCCs (multi-layer ceramic capacitors), Murata’s competitive positioning has strengthened due to high technical barriers required by AI servers, providing a strong moat for growth in the medium term.

Global food producer Danone weighed on the portfolio’s consumer staples performance following a brief infant formula recall, heightened competition in yogurt, and rumors of a large acquisition that was subsequently denied. We believe these issues are temporary, and Danone’s focus on health and nutrition should benefit from underlying consumption trends.

Sony led performance among our consumer discretionary investments. Shares rose as profitability proved resilient despite higher component costs, and its opportunities in AI gained greater recognition. Sony’s platforms stand to benefit as AI expands content availability, while its leadership in image sensors and sensing technology provides a strong footing to serve growing demand for AI applications in the physical world.

During the quarter, we initiated positions in two companies (AstraZeneca, AutoZone) and exited four holdings (Capgemini, Hexagon, KB Financial, Sumitomo Mitsui Trust).

We are finding compelling value in companies that have made significant strides to improve their overall business quality and have credible prospects to compound returns over the next several years. AstraZeneca has transformed itself into a global pharmaceutical leader through successful diversification and substantial pipeline investment. The company now has one of the industry’s deepest and most advanced drug pipelines, which coupled with its strong R&D track record, should underpin earnings expansion to offset patent expiries over the next decade. Similarly, auto parts aftermarket supplier AutoZone has established a stronghold position in the fragmented auto parts aftermarket industry, where its operating leverage improves with greater purchasing scale and supply chain utilization. Its impressive management team continues to gain market share in the growing do-it-for-me commercial market.

We divested our holdings in Capgemini, Hexagon, KB Financial, and Sumitomo Mitsui Trust as share prices reached our estimates of intrinsic value and better opportunities presented elsewhere.

¹As of 09/14/26; Source: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research, Exports and Beyond—Asia’s Broadening AI Dividend
²Source: UBS Global Research and FactSet data, Global Strategy Quarterly – Equities: Broadening Growth, Pricing Doubt, 14 September 2026
³Source: https://www.reuters.com/business/global-ai-debt-issuance-top-500-billion-2026-morgan-stanley-says-2026-06-10/
⁴As of 09/30/26; Source: MSCI, FactSet

ⁱPerformance is presented gross and net of management fees for the composite and includes the reinvestment of all income. Gross returns will be reduced by investment advisory fees and other expenses that may be incurred in the management of the account. Net of fee performance was calculated using the highest applicable annual management fee in effect, applied monthly: 0.75% applied since July 1, 2025 and 0.85% applied for the period between January 1, 2025 and June 30, 2025. All performance and attribution in this letter is in USD terms, unless otherwise specified. Policies for valuing investments, calculating performance, and preparing GIPS reports are available upon request. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The outlook and opportunities noted throughout this letter are the opinions of Altrinsic as of the date of this letter. There is no guarantee that we will be successful in implementing investment strategies that take advantage of such perceived opportunities or that any investment in the securities discussed will be profitable. Please see Important Considerations and Assumptions at the end of this letter for additional disclosures. Data sourced from FactSet, MSCI, and Altrinsic research.

GIPS Report – Altrinsic Global Equity Composite

N.A. – Information is not statistically meaningful due to an insufficient period of time.
N.A.¹ – Information is not statistically meaningful due to an insufficient number of portfolios in the composite for the entire year.
*Results shown for the year 2000 represent partial period performance from July 1, 2000 through December 31, 2000. The composite inception date is 1 July 2000.

Altrinsic Global Equity Composite is a diversified (60 – 100 holdings), bottom- up, fundamental, value oriented, Global, all cap portfolio, benchmarked to the MSCI World (Net) Index (accounts have the ability to invest in 144A stocks). The MSCI World Index is a free float- adjusted market capitalization weighted index that is designed to measure the equity market performance of developed markets. Portfolios in the composite may invest in countries that are not in the MSCI World (Net) Index. Additional information is available upon request. The minimum account size for this composite is $5 million. Prior to January 1, 2004, the minimum account size for this composite was $10 million. Returns include the effect of foreign currency exchange rates. Prior to April 1, 2006 the exchange rate source of the composite was Bloomberg 4pm New York close and the exchange rate source of the benchmark was WM Reuters 4pm London close.

Altrinsic Global Advisors, LLC claims compliance with the Global Investment Performance Standards (GIPS®) and has prepared and presented this report in compliance with the GIPS Standards. Altrinsic Global Advisors, LLC has been independently verified for the periods from December 8, 2000 through December 31, 2024.

A firm that claims compliance with the GIPS standards must establish policies and procedures for complying with all the applicable requirements of the GIPS standards. Verification provides assurance on whether the firm’s policies and procedures related to composite and pooled fund maintenance, as well as the calculation, presentation, and distribution of performance, have been designed in compliance with the GIPS standards and have been implemented on a firm-wide basis. The Altrinsic Global Equity Composite has had a performance examination for the periods beginning December 8, 2000 through December 31, 2024. The verification and performance examination reports are available upon request.

Altrinsic Global Advisors, LLC is a registered investment adviser. A list of all composite and pooled fund investment strategies offered by the firm, with a description of each strategy, is available upon request. The type of portfolios in which each strategy is available (segregated account, limited distribution pooled fund, or broad distribution pooled fund) is indicated in the description of each strategy.

Results are based on fully discretionary accounts undermanagement, including those accounts no longer with the firm. Beginning July 1, 2005, composite policy requires the temporary removal of any portfolio incurring a client initiated significant cash inflow or outflow of at least 40% of portfolio assets. The temporary removal of such an account occurs at the beginning of the month in which the significant cash flow occurs and the account re-enters the composite after the first full month undermanagement if fully invested. Additional information regarding the treatment of significant cash flows is available upon request. Composite performance is presented net of foreign withholding taxes on dividends, interest income, and capital gains. Withholding taxes may vary according to the investor’s domicile. The MSCI World (Net) Index deducts withholding tax by applying the maximum rate of the company’s country of incorporation applicable to non- resident institutional investors. The normal characteristics of the transactions in the Altrinsic Global Equity Composite include the purchase and sale of forward currency contracts using a foreign exchange credit line(s) secured by the underlying assets. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

The US dollar is the currency used to express performance. Returns are presented gross and net of management fees and include the reinvestment of all income. Gross returns will be reduced by investment advisory fees and other expenses that may be incurred in the management of the account. Net of fee performance was calculated using the highest applicable annual management fee of 0.75% applied monthly. Prior to July 1, 2025 the highest management fee applied was 0.85%. Prior to January 1, 2005 the highest management fee applied was 0.75%. The annual composite dispersion is an asset-weighted standard deviation calculated for the accounts in the composite the entire year. Policies for valuing investments, calculating performance, and preparing GIPS Reports are available upon request.

The investment management fee schedule is 0.75% on the first $25 million, 0.60% on the next $25 million, and 0.50% on the remainder. Some accounts may pay incentive fees. Actual investment advisory fees incurred by clients may vary.

The Altrinsic Global Equity Composite was created January 1, 2004. Performance presented prior to December 8, 2000 occurred while the Portfolio Manager was affiliated with a prior firm and the Portfolio Manager was the only individual responsible for selecting the securities to buy and sell.

Important Considerations and Assumptions

This presentation has been prepared solely for informational purposes and nothing in this material may be relied on in any manner as investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable or appropriate to your individual circumstances, or otherwise constitutes a personal recommendation to you.

All information is to be treated as confidential and may not be reproduced or redistributed in whole or in part in any manner without the prior written consent of Altrinsic Global Advisors, LLC (“Altrinsic”). The information contained herein shall not be relied upon as a primary basis for any investment decision, including, without limitation, the purchase of any Altrinsic products or engagement of Altrinsic investment management services; there is no and will be no agreement, arrangement, or understanding to the contrary.

This material has been prepared by Altrinsic on the basis of publicly available information, internally developed data and other third party sources believed to be reliable. However, no assurances or representations are provided regarding the reliability, accuracy or completeness of such information and Altrinsic has not sought to independently verify information taken from public and third party sources. Altrinsic does not accept liability for any loss arising from the use hereof. Any projections, market outlooks or estimates in this document are forward-looking statements and are based upon certain assumptions. Due to various risks and uncertainties, actual events or results, or the actual performance of any investment or strategy may differ materially from those reflected or contemplated in such forward-looking statements. Except where otherwise indicated, the information provided, including any investment views and market opinions/analyses expressed, constitute judgments as of the date of this document and not as of any future date. This information will not be updated or otherwise revised to reflect information that subsequently becomes available, or changes in circumstances or events occurring after the date hereof.

The data and information presented is based on representative accounts and is for informational and illustrative purposes only. Individual client data and information may vary based on different objectives for different clients. This material does not constitute investment advice and should not be viewed as current or past recommendations or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. Any documents describing Altrinsic’s products or services shall not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy the securities from any person in any jurisdiction where it is unlawful to do so. Any specific investments referenced may or may not be held by accounts managed by Altrinsic and do not represent all of the investments purchased, sold or recommended for client accounts. Readers should not assume that any investments in securities described were or will be profitable. There are no guarantees that investment objectives will be met. Investing entails risks, including possible loss of principal. Altrinsic may modify its investment approach and portfolio parameters, in the future, in a manner which it believes is consistent with its overall investment objective of long-term capital appreciation and reduced risk.

Past performance is not a guide to or otherwise indicative of future results. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve future profits or losses similar to those shown. Any investment results and portfolio compositions are provided for illustrative purposes only and may not be indicative of the future investment results or portfolio composition of any account, investment or strategy managed by Altrinsic.

Disclosure of Risk Factors: An investment in any account, investment or strategy is speculative and involves a significant degree of risk, which each prospective investor must carefully consider. Returns generated from an investment in any account, investment or strategy may not adequately compensate investors for the business and financial risks assumed. An investor in any account, investment or strategy could lose all or a substantial amount of his or her investment. Before making an investment, prospective investors are advised to thoroughly and carefully review any disclosure documents with their financial, legal and tax advisors to determine whether and investment is suitable for them.

Additional Performance Disclosure – Use of Benchmarks: Benchmarks are provided for illustrative purposes only. Comparisons to benchmarks have limitations because benchmarks have volatility and other material characteristics that may differ from the accounts, investments or strategies managed by Altrinsic. Because of these differences, benchmarks should not be relied upon as an accurate measure of comparison.

Important Disclosures with Respect to Australia: These materials are not, and under no circumstances are to be construed as, a prospectus, an offering memorandum, an advertisement or a public offering of any securities described herein in Australia or any province or territory thereof. Under no circumstances are these materials to be construed as an offer to sell securities or as a solicitation of an offer to buy securities in any jurisdiction of Australia. Altrinsic Global Advisors, LLC is regulated by the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) under US laws which differ from Australian laws, however, Altrinsic Global Advisors, LLC is exempt from the requirement to hold an Australian Financial Services License (AFSL) under the Corporations Act in respect of financial services it provides to wholesale clients only in Australia.

Certain information contained herein (the “Information”) is sourced from/copyright of MSCI Inc., MSCI Solutions LLC, or their affiliates (“MSCI”), or information providers (together the “MSCI Parties”) and may have been used to calculate scores, signals, or other indicators. The Information is for internal use only and may not be reproduced or disseminated in whole or part without prior written permission. The Information may not be used for, nor does it constitute, an offer to buy or sell, or a promotion or recommendation of, any security, financial instrument or product, trading strategy, or index, nor should it be taken as an indication or guarantee of any future performance. Some funds may be based on or linked to MSCI indexes, and MSCI may be compensated based on the fund’s assets under management or other measures. MSCI has established an information barrier between index research and certain Information. None of the Information in and of itself can be used to determine which securities to buy or sell or when to buy or sell them. The Information is provided “as is” and the user assumes the entire risk of any use it may make or permit to be made of the Information. No MSCI Party warrants or guarantees the originality, accuracy and/or completeness of the Information and each expressly disclaims all express or implied warranties. No MSCI Party shall have any liability for any errors or omissions in connection with any Information herein, or any liability for any direct, indirect, special, punitive, consequential or any other damages (including lost profits) even if notified of the possibility of such damages. (www.msci.com)

This document is not intended for public use or distribution.

Global Equity

Quarterly Letter

Global Equity Commentary | 3Q 2026

John Hock, CFA

John DeVita, CFA

Rich McCormick, CFA

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